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Red114
11242.7
282624.5
582643.5
Blue70
203935.7
379221.1
791524.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115705010015011470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.4
38.438.9
Auto13.5
Teleop22.7
End7.2
red by 7.9
2039
#18
35.70.1
29.429.3
Auto9.6
Teleop18.5
End7.6
Second
112
#21
42.70.4
41.642.1
Auto10.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
red by 18.0
7915
#53
24.70.1
21.921.8
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End3.8
Third
2826
#28
24.50.4
22.422.8
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End4.3
red by 3.4
3792
#48
21.10.1
19.919.8
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed