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Red81
171620.7
219437.6
558640.1
Blue84
757820.1
327641.8
297725.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918540601001201408184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5586
#19
40.10.3
35.034.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End8.9
blue by 1.7
3276
#14
41.80.2
36.336.5
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End9.4
Second
2194
#17
37.60.3
33.132.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.6
End8.6
red by 12.4
2977
#46
25.20.4
23.423.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.4
End4.9
Third
1716
#44
20.70.3
16.816.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End6.3
red by 0.6
7578
#40
20.10.2
20.721.0
Auto7.4
Teleop7.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsEarned