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Red82
282624.5
217529.7
417432.5
Blue115
173647.0
558640.1
557626.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85123406010014016018082115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4174
#24
32.50.3
32.832.5
Auto8.8
Teleop16.3
End7.4
blue by 14.5
47.00.3
48.648.9
Auto11.4
Teleop29.8
End5.8
Second
2175
#25
29.70.2
27.727.6
Auto13.1
Teleop11.2
End5.4
blue by 10.5
5586
#19
40.10.3
37.537.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End8.9
Third
2826
#28
24.50.2
24.123.9
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End4.3
blue by 2.0
5576
#52
26.50.3
24.725.0
Auto10.9
Teleop8.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned