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Red145
582643.5
702161.1
17134.7
Blue47
501926.5
405425.4
91498.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15054010020014547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.10.7
57.958.6
Auto14.9
Teleop36.9
End8.1
red by 34.6
5019
#29
26.51.7
27.325.6
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End6.8
Second
43.50.7
39.340.0
Auto13.5
Teleop22.7
End7.2
red by 18.1
4054
#37
25.41.7
26.024.3
Auto6.2
Teleop12.0
End7.3
Third
171
#15
34.70.7
33.334.0
Auto13.9
Teleop14.3
End6.4
red by 26.6
9149
#51
8.11.7
9.78.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsMissed