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Red96
379221.1
219437.6
870134.0
Blue154
248155.6
878227.5
203935.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871132040608010012014016096154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#17
37.60.7
33.734.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.6
End8.6
blue by 17.9
55.62.6
50.252.8
Auto15.3
Teleop31.4
End8.6
Second
8701
#49
34.00.7
32.933.7
Auto10.2
Teleop16.1
End7.6
blue by 1.7
2039
#18
35.72.6
28.130.7
Auto9.6
Teleop18.5
End7.6
Third
3792
#48
21.10.7
18.619.3
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End5.9
blue by 6.4
8782
#35
27.54.1
24.428.5
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned