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Red116
870024.8
11168.7
791524.7
Blue117
369228.5
233863.1
591419.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171100200300400116117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#1
68.70.5
63.964.4
Auto17.1
Teleop41.0
End10.0
red by 5.7
63.10.9
58.659.5
Auto16.4
Teleop37.5
End8.5
Second
8700
#50
24.80.5
23.223.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End4.4
blue by 3.7
3692
#33
28.50.9
25.926.7
Auto10.1
Teleop12.6
End5.7
Third
7915
#53
24.70.5
21.622.1
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End3.8
red by 5.3
5914
#41
19.40.9
19.520.4
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsEarned29%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned