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Red142
203935.7
233863.1
109124.3
Blue132
217529.7
327641.8
248155.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118128050100150200250142132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.12.0
59.561.5
Auto16.4
Teleop37.5
End8.5
red by 7.5
55.60.6
52.853.4
Auto15.3
Teleop31.4
End8.6
Second
2039
#18
35.72.0
30.732.8
Auto9.6
Teleop18.5
End7.6
blue by 6.1
3276
#14
41.80.6
38.138.7
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End9.4
Third
1091
#43
24.32.0
21.623.6
Auto6.6
Teleop13.5
End4.2
blue by 5.3
2175
#25
29.70.6
27.628.1
Auto13.1
Teleop11.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsEarned60%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned