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Red79
870024.8
219437.6
369228.5
Blue133
851638.8
11168.7
282624.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831395010015020079133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#17
37.60.4
34.434.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.6
End8.6
blue by 31.1
111
#1
68.70.3
64.464.7
Auto17.1
Teleop41.0
End10.0
Second
3692
#33
28.50.4
26.726.3
Auto10.1
Teleop12.6
End5.7
blue by 10.3
8516
#12
38.80.3
34.935.2
Auto8.8
Teleop21.8
End8.1
Third
8700
#50
24.80.4
23.723.3
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End4.4
red by 0.3
2826
#28
24.50.3
23.924.2
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed49%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned