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Red190
233863.1
11168.7
558640.1
Blue136
465542.3
851638.8
327641.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18411450100150200250190136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#1
68.70.5
66.967.3
Auto17.1
Teleop41.0
End10.0
red by 26.4
4655
#30
42.30.4
40.541.0
Auto9.3
Teleop25.4
End7.3
Second
63.10.5
61.261.7
Auto16.4
Teleop37.5
End8.5
red by 21.2
3276
#14
41.80.4
40.040.5
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End9.4
Third
5586
#19
40.10.5
38.338.7
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End8.9
red by 1.3
8516
#12
38.80.4
37.037.5
Auto8.8
Teleop21.8
End8.1