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Red147
761936.1
582643.5
590339.2
Blue118
710347.9
270437.9
17134.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211286080100140160180200147118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.7
42.142.8
Auto13.5
Teleop22.7
End7.2
blue by 4.4
7103
#11
47.90.0
47.847.8
Auto15.2
Teleop24.3
End8.2
Second
5903
#22
39.20.9
37.438.3
Auto8.0
Teleop24.3
End6.9
red by 1.3
37.90.0
37.837.7
Auto7.5
Teleop23.1
End7.2
Third
36.10.7
34.635.4
Auto8.9
Teleop19.6
End7.6
red by 1.4
171
#15
34.70.0
34.634.6
Auto13.9
Teleop14.3
End6.4