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Red167
219437.6
248155.6
702161.1
Blue122
453941.5
638144.3
11242.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15713480100120180200220167122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.10.5
58.859.3
Auto14.9
Teleop36.9
End8.1
red by 16.8
6381
#10
44.30.1
44.344.2
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End7.7
Second
55.60.5
53.353.8
Auto15.3
Teleop31.4
End8.6
red by 12.9
112
#21
42.70.1
42.742.6
Auto10.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
Third
2194
#17
37.60.5
35.335.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.6
End8.6
blue by 3.8
4539
#31
41.50.1
41.541.3
Auto12.5
Teleop24.7
End4.3