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Red128
465542.3
851638.8
327641.8
Blue126
710347.9
270437.9
17134.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127126100110120130140150160128126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#30
42.30.2
41.041.2
Auto9.3
Teleop25.4
End7.3
blue by 5.6
7103
#11
47.90.2
47.847.9
Auto15.2
Teleop24.3
End8.2
Second
3276
#14
41.80.2
40.540.7
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End9.4
red by 3.9
37.90.2
37.737.9
Auto7.5
Teleop23.1
End7.2
Third
8516
#12
38.80.2
37.537.7
Auto8.8
Teleop21.8
End8.1
red by 4.1
171
#15
34.70.2
34.634.7
Auto13.9
Teleop14.3
End6.4