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Red149
11242.7
638144.3
453941.5
Blue137
203935.7
874439.3
216939.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13911850100150200250149137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6381
#10
44.30.5
44.244.7
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End7.7
red by 4.5
2169
#16
39.90.5
39.339.9
Auto9.8
Teleop22.3
End7.8
Second
112
#21
42.70.5
42.643.0
Auto10.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
red by 3.4
39.30.5
38.839.3
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End9.1
Third
4539
#31
41.50.5
41.341.8
Auto12.5
Teleop24.7
End4.3
red by 5.8
2039
#18
35.70.5
35.235.7
Auto9.6
Teleop18.5
End7.6