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Red167
353851.4
999218.4
93064.9
Blue124
657442.3
171447.6
206227.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1481240200300400500600700167124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
64.90.8
63.464.2
Auto12.7
Teleop39.9
End10.7
red by 17.2
47.60.1
47.948.0
Auto11.8
Teleop26.7
End8.7
Second
51.40.8
49.950.8
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End9.0
red by 9.1
42.30.1
42.642.7
Auto13.0
Teleop20.7
End8.9
Third
9992
#18
18.41.0
16.617.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.8
End3.9
blue by 9.0
2062
#21
27.30.1
27.627.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.3
End5.1