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Red106
999032.1
173240.5
206227.3
Blue117
999928.7
171447.6
999327.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11770050100150200106117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#17
40.50.6
49.749.0
Auto13.0
Teleop21.6
End4.9
blue by 7.1
47.61.4
46.748.2
Auto11.8
Teleop26.7
End8.7
Second
9990
#14
32.11.1
29.028.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End7.9
red by 3.4
9999
#15
28.72.4
24.827.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.4
End5.0
Third
2062
#21
27.30.6
31.831.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.3
End5.1
blue by 0.3
9993
#12
27.62.4
24.026.4
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned