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Red139
220235.2
465539.7
642144.1
Blue139
870135.0
657442.3
353851.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137143050100200250300139139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.1
Auto13.5
Teleop22.5
End8.2
blue by 7.4
51.4
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End9.0
Second
39.7
Auto7.1
Teleop24.2
End7.9
blue by 2.6
42.3
Auto13.0
Teleop20.7
End8.9
Third
2202
#13
35.2
Auto8.8
Teleop19.4
End7.6
red by 0.1
8701
#11
35.0
Auto11.9
Teleop15.4
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsEarned57%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned