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Red167
93064.9
999032.1
9339.3
Blue62
206227.3
999218.4
999327.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1317905010015020016762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
64.92.5
63.666.1
Auto12.7
Teleop39.9
End10.7
red by 37.3
9993
#12
27.63.6
27.624.0
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End8.2
Second
93
#10
39.32.5
36.038.5
Auto12.4
Teleop20.9
End6.0
red by 11.9
2062
#21
27.32.1
34.031.8
Auto9.1
Teleop13.3
End5.1
Third
9990
#14
32.14.2
24.829.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End7.9
red by 13.7
9992
#18
18.43.6
22.619.0
Auto6.2
Teleop8.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed