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Red147
414348.2
353851.4
999928.7
Blue141
657442.3
171447.6
179227.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129119050100150200147141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.8
59.360.0
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End9.0
red by 3.8
47.61.4
45.346.7
Auto11.8
Teleop26.7
End8.7
Second
48.20.8
52.853.6
Auto14.2
Teleop26.0
End7.7
red by 5.8
42.31.4
36.337.7
Auto13.0
Teleop20.7
End8.9
Third
9999
#15
28.71.3
23.524.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.4
End5.0
red by 1.1
1792
#16
27.61.4
28.830.2
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned