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Red135
999218.4
414348.2
219445.4
Blue132
870135.0
999327.6
638134.5
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13897050150200250135132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.20.9
51.352.2
Auto14.2
Teleop26.0
End7.7
red by 13.1
8701
#11
35.01.7
34.736.3
Auto11.9
Teleop15.4
End7.8
Second
45.40.9
47.448.3
Auto10.7
Teleop25.8
End8.7
red by 10.9
6381
#19
34.51.7
41.142.7
Auto6.7
Teleop22.2
End5.6
Third
9992
#18
18.41.5
17.819.3
Auto6.2
Teleop8.8
End3.9
blue by 9.2
9993
#12
27.62.8
26.429.1
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned