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Red147
93064.9
657442.3
642144.1
Blue81
179227.6
173240.5
465539.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1661255010015020025014781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
64.90.4
63.863.4
Auto12.7
Teleop39.9
End10.7
red by 24.4
1732
#17
40.52.6
49.046.4
Auto13.0
Teleop21.6
End4.9
Second
44.10.4
46.846.3
Auto13.5
Teleop22.5
End8.2
red by 4.3
39.72.6
43.340.7
Auto7.1
Teleop24.2
End7.9
Third
42.30.4
37.737.2
Auto13.0
Teleop20.7
End8.9
red by 14.7
1792
#16
27.62.6
28.225.6
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned67%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned