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Red130
319745.4
9339.3
999327.6
Blue84
220235.2
999928.7
999118.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1127005010015020013084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.41.7
40.842.4
Auto11.7
Teleop24.4
End9.2
red by 10.2
2202
#13
35.20.3
36.235.9
Auto8.8
Teleop19.4
End7.6
Second
93
#10
39.31.7
34.836.5
Auto12.4
Teleop20.9
End6.0
red by 10.5
9999
#15
28.70.6
29.028.4
Auto8.7
Teleop15.4
End5.0
Third
9993
#12
27.62.8
29.132.0
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End8.2
red by 9.1
9991
#20
18.50.6
23.523.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed