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Red108
642144.1
999218.4
319745.4
Blue115
999928.7
9339.3
173240.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12994050150200250108115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.2
43.943.7
Auto11.7
Teleop24.4
End9.2
red by 4.9
1732
#17
40.50.0
44.444.3
Auto13.0
Teleop21.6
End4.9
Second
44.10.2
46.346.2
Auto13.5
Teleop22.5
End8.2
red by 4.8
93
#10
39.30.0
37.637.6
Auto12.4
Teleop20.9
End6.0
Third
9992
#18
18.40.3
20.219.9
Auto6.2
Teleop8.8
End3.9
blue by 10.3
9999
#15
28.70.0
28.428.4
Auto8.7
Teleop15.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsMissed39%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned