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Red117
999032.1
870135.0
465539.7
Blue95
999118.5
171447.6
220235.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710640608014016018011795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.4
40.640.2
Auto7.1
Teleop24.2
End7.9
blue by 7.9
47.60.8
45.644.8
Auto11.8
Teleop26.7
End8.7
Second
8701
#11
35.00.4
37.837.4
Auto11.9
Teleop15.4
End7.8
blue by 0.1
2202
#13
35.20.8
33.933.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.4
End7.6
Third
9990
#14
32.10.7
33.032.3
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End7.9
red by 13.6
9991
#20
18.51.3
22.921.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned