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Red104
638134.5
206227.3
657442.3
Blue133
319745.4
93064.9
999928.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100129050150104133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.6
38.739.3
Auto13.0
Teleop20.7
End8.9
blue by 22.6
930
#1
64.90.4
65.765.3
Auto12.7
Teleop39.9
End10.7
Second
6381
#19
34.50.6
32.933.5
Auto6.7
Teleop22.2
End5.6
blue by 10.9
45.40.4
42.642.2
Auto11.7
Teleop24.4
End9.2
Third
2062
#21
27.30.6
23.724.3
Auto9.1
Teleop13.3
End5.1
blue by 1.4
9999
#15
28.70.5
25.324.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsEarned81%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned