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Red151
465539.7
414348.2
9339.3
Blue154
219445.4
642144.1
171447.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131149050100200151154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.20.0
47.747.7
Auto14.2
Teleop26.0
End7.7
red by 0.5
1714
#9DQ
47.61.3
43.344.6
Auto11.8
Teleop26.7
End8.7
Second
39.70.0
39.339.2
Auto7.1
Teleop24.2
End7.9
blue by 5.7
45.41.3
46.447.7
Auto10.7
Teleop25.8
End8.7
Third
93
#10
39.30.0
36.136.1
Auto12.4
Teleop20.9
End6.0
blue by 4.8
44.11.3
45.146.3
Auto13.5
Teleop22.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsEarned59%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned