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Red1
353851.4
93064.9
999218.4
Blue0
999722.9
999822.9
999622.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1712505010015020025010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
64.93.0
65.362.3
Auto12.7
Teleop39.9
End10.7
red by 42.0
9996
UnrankedDQ
22.93.2
28.925.7
Auto6.3
Teleop13.1
End4.0
Second
51.43.0
51.848.8
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End9.0
red by 28.5
9997
UnrankedDQ
22.93.2
28.925.7
Auto6.3
Teleop13.1
End4.0
Third
9992
#18
18.43.7
18.915.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.8
End3.9
blue by 4.5
9998
UnrankedDQ
22.93.2
28.925.7
Auto6.3
Teleop13.1
End4.0