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Red122
9339.3
638134.5
173240.5
Blue150
353851.4
93064.9
171447.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12918650100150200250122150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#17
40.50.3
50.249.9
Auto13.0
Teleop21.6
End4.9
blue by 24.4
930
#1
64.91.2
64.863.6
Auto12.7
Teleop39.9
End10.7
Second
93
#10
39.30.3
36.336.0
Auto12.4
Teleop20.9
End6.0
blue by 12.2
51.41.2
60.459.3
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End9.0
Third
6381
#19
34.50.3
40.239.9
Auto6.7
Teleop22.2
End5.6
blue by 13.2
47.61.2
46.545.3
Auto11.8
Teleop26.7
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned