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Red95
999032.1
179227.6
414348.2
Blue121
999327.6
657442.3
465539.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101103608012014095121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.21.0
53.852.8
Auto14.2
Teleop26.0
End7.7
red by 5.8
42.31.3
35.036.3
Auto13.0
Teleop20.7
End8.9
Second
9990
#14
32.11.7
26.524.8
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End7.9
blue by 7.6
39.71.3
41.442.7
Auto7.1
Teleop24.2
End7.9
Third
1792
#16
27.61.0
29.828.8
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End6.4
Level
9993
#12
27.62.1
25.427.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned