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Red153
353851.4
999218.4
93064.9
Blue142
657442.3
171447.6
206227.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1481170200300400500153142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
64.90.3
63.163.4
Auto12.7
Teleop39.9
End10.7
red by 17.2
47.60.7
45.946.6
Auto11.8
Teleop26.7
End8.7
Second
51.40.3
49.649.9
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End9.0
red by 9.1
42.30.7
40.641.3
Auto13.0
Teleop20.7
End8.9
Third
9992
#18
18.40.4
16.216.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.8
End3.9
blue by 9.0
2062
#21
27.30.7
25.626.3
Auto9.1
Teleop13.3
End5.1