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Red120
870135.0
173240.5
999032.1
Blue117
219445.4
642144.1
999118.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161136080100140160120117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#17
40.50.2
40.941.2
Auto13.0
Teleop21.6
End4.9
blue by 4.9
45.40.2
45.245.4
Auto10.7
Teleop25.8
End8.7
Second
8701
#11
35.00.2
35.535.7
Auto11.9
Teleop15.4
End7.8
blue by 9.0
44.10.2
43.844.1
Auto13.5
Teleop22.5
End8.2
Third
9990
#14
32.10.3
32.632.9
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End7.9
red by 13.6
9991
#20
18.50.3
18.318.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End5.1