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Red130
319745.4
999928.7
9339.3
Blue130
414348.2
179227.6
465539.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101128050150200250300350130130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.4
44.044.4
Auto11.7
Teleop24.4
End9.2
blue by 2.8
48.20.3
47.848.2
Auto14.2
Teleop26.0
End7.7
Second
93
#10
39.30.4
37.938.2
Auto12.4
Teleop20.9
End6.0
blue by 0.5
39.70.3
39.439.7
Auto7.1
Teleop24.2
End7.9
Third
9999
#15
28.70.4
27.127.5
Auto8.7
Teleop15.4
End5.0
red by 1.1
1792
#16
27.60.3
27.227.6
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End6.4