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Red0
999722.9
999822.9
999622.9
Blue1
642144.1
219445.4
999118.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613705010015020001

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9996
UnrankedDQ
22.92.9
25.722.9
Auto6.3
Teleop13.1
End4.0
blue by 22.5
45.42.6
47.745.2
Auto10.7
Teleop25.8
End8.7
Second
9997
UnrankedDQ
22.92.9
25.722.9
Auto6.3
Teleop13.1
End4.0
blue by 21.2
44.12.6
46.443.8
Auto13.5
Teleop22.5
End8.2
Third
9998
UnrankedDQ
22.92.9
25.722.9
Auto6.3
Teleop13.1
End4.0
red by 4.3
9991
#20
18.53.1
21.418.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End5.1