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Red112
414348.2
179227.6
465539.7
Blue119
999032.1
173240.5
870135.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126114050100150200112119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.20.0
47.747.6
Auto14.2
Teleop26.0
End7.7
red by 7.7
1732
#17
40.50.2
41.041.2
Auto13.0
Teleop21.6
End4.9
Second
39.70.0
39.239.2
Auto7.1
Teleop24.2
End7.9
red by 4.7
8701
#11
35.00.2
35.535.7
Auto11.9
Teleop15.4
End7.8
Third
1792
#16
27.60.0
27.127.0
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End6.4
blue by 4.5
9990
#14
32.10.3
32.733.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End7.9