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Qual 122023 Wisconsin Regional
Red120
657440.9
53745.2
601731.7
Blue104
167531.8
206230.9
642139.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93864060100120140160120104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
537
#2
45.22.5
29.0→31.5
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End11.4
red by 5.5
6421
#5
39.71.4
33.9→35.3
Auto12.9
Teleop19.2
End7.6
Second
6574
#10
40.92.7
31.7→34.5
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End8.2
red by 9.1
1675
#35
31.81.4
20.6→22.0
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End6.0
Third
6017
#7
31.72.2
25.6→27.9
Auto6.4
Teleop16.8
End8.5
red by 0.8
2062
#14
30.91.3
27.3→28.6
Auto7.6
Teleop14.2
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned