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Red71
130622.2
622325.6
219426.7
Blue80
319742.5
509618.6
478721.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70723040506080901001107180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#33
26.70.7
25.624.9
Auto7.1
Teleop11.5
End8.0
blue by 15.8
3197
#17
42.50.7
35.536.2
Auto13.7
Teleop23.6
End5.2
Second
6223
#45
25.60.7
16.916.2
Auto9.9
Teleop10.0
End5.7
red by 3.7
4787
#29
21.90.6
13.514.1
Auto8.8
Teleop6.8
End6.2
Third
1306
#38
22.20.7
24.623.9
Auto3.4
Teleop13.5
End5.3
red by 3.6
5096
#40
18.61.0
17.418.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned16%Activation oddsEarned