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Red110
173252.7
514831.0
664316.4
Blue92
251228.6
235822.0
870136.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9459020408012014016011092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.71.7
48.049.7
Auto13.2
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 16.4
8701
#34
36.33.6
20.424.0
Auto8.1
Teleop19.9
End8.3
Second
5148
#32
31.01.7
20.722.4
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End7.0
red by 2.4
2512
#19
28.62.6
18.020.6
Auto9.6
Teleop13.8
End5.3
Third
6643
#44
16.42.9
15.218.1
Auto6.8
Teleop6.2
End3.3
blue by 5.6
2358
#25
22.02.2
21.223.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned18%Activation oddsMissed