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Red125
802928.6
179230.4
93057.8
Blue72
171441.3
359624.8
638138.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1138205010015020012572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
57.81.2
50.351.4
Auto13.5
Teleop35.9
End8.4
red by 16.5
1714
#31
41.30.7
40.840.0
Auto12.7
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Second
1792
#26
30.41.4
29.330.8
Auto10.2
Teleop13.4
End6.8
blue by 7.9
6381
#15
38.21.0
25.124.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End8.9
Third
8029
#24
28.61.2
22.924.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.1
End8.5
red by 3.8
3596
#41
24.81.0
15.314.3
Auto9.1
Teleop11.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsMissed