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Qual 192023 Wisconsin Regional
Red96
207713.7
53745.2
853132.6
Blue105
171441.3
790028.8
812238.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7711005010015020096105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
537
#2
45.21.3
31.5→32.8
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End11.4
red by 3.9
1714
#31
41.30.3
40.0→39.7
Auto12.7
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Second
8531
#23
32.62.2
29.2→31.4
Auto6.1
Teleop16.4
End10.2
blue by 5.6
8122
#12
38.30.3
40.1→39.9
Auto8.7
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Third
2077
#47
13.71.3
15.7→17.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End3.2
blue by 15.1
7900
#27
28.80.4
18.8→18.4
Auto9.9
Teleop12.0
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsMissed