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Red96
622325.6
616033.2
125931.8
Blue105
251228.6
880316.1
250630.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726205010015020025096105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6160
#11
33.22.2
24.226.4
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End8.6
red by 2.6
2506
#20
30.63.0
20.423.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End6.8
Second
1259
#28
31.82.0
26.128.1
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
red by 3.1
2512
#19
28.63.4
20.624.0
Auto9.6
Teleop13.8
End5.3
Third
6223
#45
25.63.3
16.219.5
Auto9.9
Teleop10.0
End5.7
red by 9.5
8803
#46
16.13.0
18.721.7
Auto6.1
Teleop4.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsEarned