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Qual 212023 Wisconsin Regional
Red117
478649.1
359624.8
283033.6
Blue115
791529.5
341833.1
809646.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85966080120140117115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#6
49.12.3
40.1→42.4
Auto14.4
Teleop25.6
End9.1
red by 3.1
8096
#9
46.01.8
36.9→38.6
Auto11.8
Teleop27.9
End6.3
Second
2830
#22
33.62.0
26.9→28.9
Auto8.5
Teleop17.6
End7.5
red by 0.5
3418
#36
33.12.0
26.8→28.8
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End8.2
Third
3596
#41
24.83.4
14.3→17.7
Auto9.1
Teleop11.8
End4.0
blue by 4.7
7915
#21
29.52.9
24.8→27.7
Auto8.2
Teleop16.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned