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Red101
582225.7
880232.2
741718.5
Blue41
601731.7
130622.2
109118.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707605010015020010141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8802
#13
32.22.0
25.927.9
Auto7.1
Teleop16.8
End8.3
red by 0.5
31.72.0
27.925.9
Auto6.4
Teleop16.8
End8.5
Second
5822
#37
25.72.0
23.425.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.6
End5.2
red by 3.6
1306
#38
22.23.3
23.920.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.5
End5.3
Third
7417
#42
18.52.0
16.918.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End6.1
red by 0.3
1091
#43
18.23.3
18.515.2
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsMissed