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Qual 252023 Wisconsin Regional
Red113
251228.6
812238.3
622325.6
Blue104
179230.4
657440.9
306729.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8799050150200113104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#12
38.31.6
39.9→41.5
Auto8.7
Teleop23.1
End6.5
blue by 2.6
6574
#10
40.90.8
32.3→33.1
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End8.2
Second
2512
#19
28.61.6
24.0→25.6
Auto9.6
Teleop13.8
End5.3
blue by 1.7
1792
#26
30.40.8
29.9→30.7
Auto10.2
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Third
6223
#45
25.62.7
19.5→22.3
Auto9.9
Teleop10.0
End5.7
blue by 3.8
3067
#39
29.40.8
29.2→30.0
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsEarned