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Red105
319742.5
809646.0
359624.8
Blue128
790028.8
642139.7
173252.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9810920406080120140160180105128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.8
38.639.4
Auto11.8
Teleop27.9
End6.3
blue by 6.7
52.71.5
50.151.5
Auto13.2
Teleop31.1
End8.3
Second
3197
#17
42.50.8
37.137.8
Auto13.7
Teleop23.6
End5.2
red by 2.8
39.71.5
32.433.9
Auto12.9
Teleop19.2
End7.6
Third
3596
#41
24.81.3
17.719.0
Auto9.1
Teleop11.8
End4.0
blue by 4.0
7900
#27
28.82.5
18.420.8
Auto9.9
Teleop12.0
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned