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Red36
791529.5
109118.2
509618.6
Blue110
514831.0
251228.6
179230.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6387020408010012014036110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7915
#21
29.52.9
27.724.8
Auto8.2
Teleop16.0
End5.3
blue by 1.5
5148
#32
31.01.4
22.223.6
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End7.0
Second
5096
#40
18.62.9
18.215.2
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End5.0
blue by 11.8
1792
#26
30.41.4
30.732.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Third
1091
#43
18.22.9
16.613.7
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End4.0
blue by 10.4
2512
#19
28.61.4
25.627.1
Auto9.6
Teleop13.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed18%Activation oddsMissed