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Red87
306729.4
616033.2
173252.7
Blue148
93057.8
601731.7
171441.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114133608010016018020087148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.71.5
51.550.0
Auto13.2
Teleop31.1
End8.3
blue by 5.1
930
#1
57.81.7
54.756.4
Auto13.5
Teleop35.9
End8.4
Second
6160
#11
33.21.5
28.126.6
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End8.6
blue by 8.1
1714
#31
41.31.7
40.241.9
Auto12.7
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Third
3067
#39
29.41.5
30.028.5
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End4.6
blue by 2.3
31.71.7
27.829.5
Auto6.4
Teleop16.8
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned