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Red122
359624.8
812238.3
70642.7
Blue83
250630.6
664316.4
167531.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1096305010015020012283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#8
42.71.7
35.837.5
Auto11.3
Teleop23.5
End7.9
red by 10.9
1675
#35
31.81.2
24.425.6
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End6.0
Second
8122
#12
38.31.7
41.543.2
Auto8.7
Teleop23.1
End6.5
red by 7.6
2506
#20
30.61.2
24.325.5
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End6.8
Third
3596
#41
24.82.8
19.021.9
Auto9.1
Teleop11.8
End4.0
red by 8.5
6643
#44
16.42.0
16.618.6
Auto6.8
Teleop6.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed