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Red101
341833.1
53745.2
251228.6
Blue123
802928.6
173252.7
884734.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98108050150200101123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
537
#2
45.20.5
37.337.7
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End11.4
blue by 7.5
52.71.5
50.051.5
Auto13.2
Teleop31.1
End8.3
Second
3418
#36
33.10.5
29.329.8
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End8.2
blue by 1.0
8847
#16
34.12.5
25.728.3
Auto8.6
Teleop18.8
End6.9
Third
2512
#19
28.60.5
27.127.6
Auto9.6
Teleop13.8
End5.3
Level
8029
#24
28.61.5
24.526.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed56%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned