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Red103
206230.9
880232.2
250630.6
Blue56
812238.3
741718.5
818823.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87866070809010011012010356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8802
#13
32.20.3
28.628.9
Auto7.1
Teleop16.8
End8.3
blue by 6.1
8122
#12
38.31.7
43.241.5
Auto8.7
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Second
2062
#14
30.90.3
26.827.2
Auto7.6
Teleop14.2
End9.1
red by 7.9
8188
#30DQ
23.01.7
20.218.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End7.3
Third
2506
#20
30.60.3
25.525.8
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End6.8
red by 12.1
7417
#42
18.51.7
17.616.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsMissed