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Qual 452023 Wisconsin Regional
Red91
657440.9
790028.8
791529.5
Blue88
582225.7
622325.6
870136.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837902004006008001,0001,2009188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6574
#10
40.90.9
33.6→34.5
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End8.2
red by 4.6
8701
#34
36.31.5
30.9→32.3
Auto8.1
Teleop19.9
End8.3
Second
7915
#21
29.51.5
22.0→23.5
Auto8.2
Teleop16.0
End5.3
red by 3.8
5822
#37
25.70.9
25.1→25.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.6
End5.2
Third
7900
#27
28.81.5
22.1→23.5
Auto9.9
Teleop12.0
End7.0
red by 3.2
6223
#45
25.61.5
18.8→20.3
Auto9.9
Teleop10.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned