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Red122
235822.0
70642.7
306729.4
Blue101
109118.2
642139.7
638138.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9480050150200122101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#8
42.70.7
37.538.2
Auto11.3
Teleop23.5
End7.9
red by 3.0
39.71.6
32.934.6
Auto12.9
Teleop19.2
End7.6
Second
3067
#39
29.40.7
28.529.2
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End4.6
blue by 8.8
6381
#15
38.22.7
30.032.7
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End8.9
Third
2358
#25
22.00.7
20.721.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End5.0
red by 3.8
1091
#43
18.22.7
13.716.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned